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"The key is not to prioritize what's on your schedule, but to schedule your priorities." - Stephen Covey, Business Guru

Tuesday
02Feb2010

US Airlines Losing It

I just don’t get the growth strategies the US based airlines are trying to pursue. Regardless of what I think, it should be very obvious and clear to everybody that their strategy has nothing to do with improving customer service or experience.  

On one hand we have the rest of the world moving towards a service centric and customer focused value model, which improves the customer’s flying experience and provides meaningful amenities for which there is adequate customer-willingness-to-pay. On the other hand, we have the US based airlines that do not give a rat’s ass about customer service or comfort, and would rather take the cheap route of disaggregating the ticket fare and charging for every interaction with the customer. Now I do get that airlines are struggling and need to find new, innovative means to getting back to profitability. But come on, enough with the constant baggage fee hikes! First it was 1 bag for a certain fee, now it’s every bag for a lot bigger share of your wallet. First they blamed the increasing fuel prices, then the increasing security measures and TSA regulations, and now it’s the economy. Next thing you know, you will be required to carry quarters on flight so that you can use their toilets! 

My most recent travel experience was flying to India and back (via Europe). As an economy class traveler, I noticed one distinct trend. The farther East you travel, the more pleasant your travel experience is likely to be and the more value you are likely to get for your money. The moment you enter a US airport, you are bound to feel the stress-effect. Be it the agent at the check-in counter, the people manning the security lines, the agents checking your boarding passes, and the most feared of them all, the attendants in your flight. Every one of them will try their best to give you that unwelcome feeling. Try asking them for information and they will give you that look that says “Have you never been on an airplane before?”. The check-in agents want you to use the kiosk and not disturb them while they are having that all important chat with their fellow agents. The security agents will come down upon you as if you have broken some serious laws by forgetting to pack lotions in a zip-lock. The gate agents once again have that “Don’t even think about it!” look on their face. Finally, you step in the plane to experience the worst part of the ordeal. Yeah you have those call-attendant buttons on your armrest but if you did not know this already, they are not meant to be used. Because, if you do dare to press it, chances are that the attendant will not show up. If they show up, it will feel like it’s been an eternity. And then, you will get that look again. And finally when you put in your request, it will be another eternity before your request is serviced. 

All of the above improves drastically as you move further east. The European airlines pay a lot more attention to serving their customers with a smile and the Asian airlines are the best of them all. At the Amsterdam airport, when the check-in agent noticed that we were travelling with our 2-yr and 5-yr old, she immediately asked us to step ahead of the line and made a proactive effort to get us bulkhead seats so that there would be extra room for the kids to walk around. Expecting that from a US based airline staff would be out of the question. The European and Asian airline staff are a lot more courteous and accommodating, and they do not make it sound like they are doing you a favor every time they serve you. 

From an airline operations point of view, you do want minimal customer interaction with your staff and agents. You want to be running a lean setup and as such, customer interactions with human agents are significant cost drivers. You want your customers to be using all of the online and airport portals and kiosks, before they pick up the phone or approach an onsite agent. I do not have a problem with that as that is right way to approach customer operations. But it should never get to a point where you foster, directly or indirectly, a culture which tells your staff that it is ok to be cold or offhanded to customers. That kind of behavior, attitude, and environment is a recipe for doom, and your customer ratings will decline at a steady clip. The right approach is to look at these human interactions as opportunities to wow the customer, just like you are trying diligently to do with your process and technology innovations. Customers will rate you on the overall, end-to-end experience and lapse on your part at any stage of this experience will hurt you. This is the Holy Grail when it comes to things like customer loyalty and customer retention.

Unfortunately, just like the US economy has taken a dive, so has the US airlines approach to customer service. Consumer spending on services represents a nice chunk of the annual GDP estimates and the airline sector certainly is not helping the economy in that regard. Instead of using it as a key lever for brand differentiation and long term growth, US airlines continue to look at customer interaction as profitability dilution. If the rail network within the US was a lot more established and mature, it could provide the much needed competition to air travel, which would then lead to the kind of travel business transformation the the EU and Asian markets have witnessed.

 

Monday
25Jan2010

Automotive Sales | Strategy Map

A while back I had proposed a Strategy Map for the CIO's organization (Making IT Matter). My flavor of a strategy map goes well beyond the traditional ones when it comes to the level of detail provided. Remember, strategy maps are a mash-up of your strategic roadmap and a BSC (Balanced Scorecard), and their intent is to help you set/get a clear path for planning, execution, and performance measurement. To make these maps effective, my goal is to focus on activities that are actionable, measurable, and more than anything else, meaningful. And yes, who doesn't like pictures? This type of visual encapsulates it all! A picture is worth a thousand words.

What I am proposing in this blog posting is a "Sales" strategy map for an automotive manufacturer.  The purpose of this particular map can be summed up as follows -

"To set forth a strategic framework that captures how the different parts of an auto sales organization come together, collaborate,  and contribute towards the overall brand goals and objectives." 

 

Here is the Top-10 list for how you could use such a map -

  1. Articulate and communicate the organization’s “big picture”, internally as well as externally
  2. Determine whether the functional organization is designed for long term success and achievement of strategic goals
  3. Evaluate and re-align organizational goals and objectives
  4. Determine critical performance areas that require tighter controls and monitoring
  5. Rationalize the “strategic fit” of new IT initiatives/projects vis-à-vis the organizational strategy
  6. Determine weak links or areas (i.e. vulnerabilities) that need more emphasis than others
  7. Utilize for understanding how investments in soft areas (like culture, teamwork,, etc.) translate into business outcomes
  8. Rationalize the spread of people across various functions and evaluate opportunities for resource re-alignment
  9. Utilize for assessing the breadth and depth of business performance analytics coverage
  10. Use as a basis for having operations strategy discussions and determining how macro conditions may impact the map

As always, write to me if you need a soft copy of this map or would like to discuss it or would like me develop one for your organization. Also, make a few seconds to leave your comments on this blog posting.

 

Sunday
17Jan2010

India - Craving more Services

I’m finally back into a rhythm, after a well-deserved (at least in my opinion) India break, and ready to share some more insights from my experiences there. One thing was very apparent to me in India - people are sitting on a lot of money, especially in the metros (Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, etc.). The booming Indian economy is nicely carrying along with it people’s bank balances.  

Disposable incomes are on the rise and consumers are sitting on a good chunk of cash, trying to figure out where next to spend their money. I went to malls, markets, restaurants, hospitals, airports, train stations, salons, car dealership, and movie theaters – the one thing that was very obvious to me is that Indian consumers are desperate to improve their lifestyles and day-to-day experiences. They are constantly scrounging for the next gadget or service that will help improve their quality of life, social status, and/or personal productivity. Whereas on one hand, the global consumer goods giants and MNCs have managed to flood the Indian market with lots of products (clothes, phones, cars, shoes, etc.), on the other hand they have been very slow in understanding and identifying the service needs and opportunities of the same consumer base.  

With the global economy going bust, companies are looking at the two 1B+ consumer markets of China and India to gain market share, boost waning demand, and add revenue new streams. There used to be a time when product introductions between the developed and the developing markets lagged by 4-5 years. That is not the case anymore with the lag shrinking down to maybe a year. And that makes sense because it allows the company to better manage their launch related activities and risks. Moreover, it takes time to understand and tailor the product to a different market; you start with the most promising ones and then graduate to other, more risky terrains. However, as firms continue to mature in their understanding of the Indian consumer’s product needs, they show remarkably slow progress on the services end.  

Traditionally, it has been relatively easier to understand consumer’s product related needs and facilitate the product launches than to understand consumer’s service related needs. Products are typically made of what we all fondly call “matter” and hence can be held and felt, compared to services that are things that need to be experienced and take time to immerse within the target market segment(s). Moreover, the Indian consumer is about the finickiest one that you could come across anywhere in the world. It’s rather challenging to pin them down on their needs, desires, and aspirations. Let’s say you’ve successfully done that, how do you distribute and deliver the service (remember the inadequate Indian infrastructure)? Better yet, how do you price it? I guess I could attribute a combination of these factors and more as the factors delaying the growth of the services sector in the Indian market. 

Don’t get me wrong – there are sectors where consumer services have been able to make decent inroads. Examples that come to mind our finance/banking, air travel, telecom, fast food, retail, education, and to some extent, media. But then there are significant opportunities and potential in sectors like insurance, legal, healthcare, hospitality, security, transportation, and personal wellbeing (gyms, spas, rejuvenation centers, etc.). Let me try and give you some specific examples. Today, in Delhi, if you get into an accident and need to be ferried to a hospital, there is no reliable ambulatory service provider that you can call upon. You will literally be at the mercy of the traffic around you for getting you safely to a nearby healthcare facility. Further, if the other person is at fault and your car gets totaled, odds are that they may not have auto insurance to reimburse you for your damages. The car repair shop would take your car but probably would not be able to give you a loaner since that concept is non-existent.

All of the above are examples of consumer services, things that make our lives safer, better, and your daily experiences, richer. This is what is lacking and what the Indian consumers are craving for. They have the money but there are few value-added and quality services to subscribe to. I guess I should be patient, which is what I’ve said in some of my earlier postings. Figuring out a 1B+ consumer base is not that easy and navigating the Indian system is even more difficult. But the opportunities are knocking …..

 

Thursday
31Dec2009

Lehman, Lehman, Lehman .. You Fools!!!!

Book Review of “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense” and “Too Big to Fail”

This blog posting is a review of two books. I don’t need to remind anyone, especially those who are serious about investing, as to what transpired in the last couple of years. The whole world came to its knees … US went bankrupt, Dubai went bust, world went into deep recession. During this fiasco, all I strived to understand is how the hell did things come to this? Who should be blamed for this mess? What can we learn out of this? And, most important of all – how do we make money from this when it comes around again before I die? I have come to expect that this phenomenon of boom and bust is inherent into the existing financial system. This has already been hammered-into my head by the two great books that I’ve previously reviewed on Kazira, “The Black Swan” by Nassim Taleb and “A new paradigm for the financial markets” by George Soros.

Markets in the “Extremistan” (borrowing terms used by Nassim) are bound to exhibit the boom-bust pattern of growth and contraction. The ones we have seen in the recent past are – 

a.  Savings and loan fiasco in the 80s.
b.  Long Term Capital Management hedge fund bust in the 90s.
c.  Housing and the sub-prime bust in the 2000s.

And the government intervened in all the three cases listed above to save the world from financial calamity. The point is, if I were head of an investment bank or a commercial bank – I would be keeping an eye on who the next Treasury Secretary is going to be – who the next chairman of the federal reserve is going to be – Wine them, dine them, take exotic vacations with them – Get everyone on the bandwagon of Deregulations - Then invest crazily while heavily leveraging yourself (all the way touting the virtues of “regulation free” Capitalism) – Earn like a SOB – and when the time comes for the payment – Plead ignorance and ask for the government bailout of my company (Embrace Socialism all the way to the bank) – Fed opens the short term window to all who screwed up and we all live happily ever after. That is exactly what has happened in the three major fiascos that I noted above. So, folks, here’s a model for you to get insanely rich. Just leave your morals home.

But Lehman, poor Lehman… Got the short hand of the stick since the CEO Fuld was not in bed with Paulson (Then Treasury Secretary) and rest of the Wall Street "families". How difficult is it to be like JP Morgan Chase or Bank of America? Give the big bosses (the Fed Chairman and the Treasury Secretary) the pleasure treatment when he/she most desires .. (I hope you notice that I wanted to be cruder here but refrained myself). You could be given "Jamie Deal" for Bear-Stern and some kind of deal for Merrill-Lynch. But no! Lehman brothers, you just had to do things your way. You couldn't play nice in the sandbox when asked (LTCM bailout by private sector) - Well, then you go down and take a part of the system down as well. You were worse than AIG - at least those bastards survived and the employees and customer investments were preserved.

Who got left holding the bag? You and I, along with shareholders of these unfortunate companies. We were the ones who received the short end of all the sticks. Our money, taxes, given away to these greedy investment houses as presents on Christmas. We, on the other side are left with no jobs, no loans, nothing. Merry Christmas to you all.

So, here are two books to take you inside the minds of the movers and shakers on the Wall Street and Washington DC. Their personal traits and tribulations.

The first book – “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense” by Patrick Robinson – – is written by an ex-Lehman executive. It provides a good insight on the inner workings of Lehman (When it was still sailing towards the iceberg). It provides a great day to day workings, rivalries, and company history before and during the meltdown. It also provides a good explanation for all complex financial tools (Refered to as “Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction” by Warren Buffet) for non-finance-savvy readers. It alsi gives the reader a good feel of how the tradings really get done and the energy that is present on the trading floors. But accept it, the author got fired from Lehman and so some of that bias does creep in when he is describing the working methodology of upper echelons at Lehman.

The second book – "Too Big To fail" by Andrew Ross Sorkin – 
picks up on the subject left by the first author and expands it to the whole financial markets and Washington DC. If you want to know all critical movers and shakers on the Wall Street and Washington DC, and wish to know their characters, interconnections, and behind-the-scene trials and tribulations – This the book for you. It has background on JP Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Merrill Lynch. Individually it describes the background of larger than life personalities such as Jamie Diamond, Richard Fuld, Timothy Gietner, Henry Paulson, Ben Bernanke, among others. The book starts at the point where the financial Tsunami starts to the point where Paulson nationalizes all the major banks in the US. The book raises several important social, political, and philosophical questions and leaves you thinking. Was Lehman collapse intentional? Why Bear, AIG, and others and not Lehman? Was Paulson thinking of his buddies at Goldman more than the people of the US?

I would STRONGLY recommend: TOO BIG TO FAIL” over the “A colossal Failure of Common Sense” – simply because it contains way more details (on Lehman and beyond) about various different players and various different perspective; in addition to depth of reporting and less personal history of the author.

 

Monday
21Dec2009

Jo Phire So Chare (A Cow that Moves-around Eats More Grass)

During my travel in India last month, I came across an entrepreneur, who during a brief conversation with me conveyed one profound mantra that defines a successful entrepreneur – “A Cow that Moves around gets more share of the grass”. Obviously, this saying is rooted in the agrarian India – but it can be very easily translated for the western world as the concept of “Who Moved My Cheese?” You know, the famous question raised in the namesake great books of recent time; authored by Spencer Johnson. 

This concept is universal when it comes to professional success. (Now letting my mind wonder a bit) Obviously this concept does not apply in your personal relationships. ;-) Ok, Ok - Let me focus now …

  • Innovation/Ideas – Truly innovative ideas are rare. As you know, each idea needs time to blossom and some, unfortunately, do not - due to timing. The point is not to get disheartened if your idea did not fly the first time around. Keep thinking, keep implementing and that way you would have a higher chance of success. There is a community of entrepreneurs out there that see each failure as the step closer to success.
  • Investment – Stocks or any other investments – Don’t get married to them – I have seen numerous small investors sink along with the ship that they bet on. Stop Loss is the key word here. Always have a number where you would like to stop your losses. Move your money around, diversify …
  • Jobs – More moves will not only get you moving up the corporate ladder faster – you will also learn the tricks of the trade from all difference direction. Each company has a character, once you’ve worked for company long enough, the company's character sort of morphs into yours. You definitely don’t need that. Move around, get different flavors from different companies till you find the one where your acquired spectrum of colors is appropriately honored and compensated.
  • Skills – Staying as an expert in one skill is a sure sign of getting obsolete as well. Unless you are one of those 6-sigma persons who is so good at what they do, they are always in demand (for example – Einstein, Steve Jobs, etc.). But, accept it, most of us do not fall into that category. Be the best at what you do, but keep yourself abreast of the new and upcoming trends. I know of a few friends in IT world who got obsolete with their expertise in their respective programming skills – since they refused to upgrade themselves to the upcoming new technologies. I also know of a few dinosaur managers, who got kicked out of their positions because they refused to accept that the computers are completely fit to replace the personal secretaries that they got so used to.

The point is, move around, explore new avenues, new ideas, and always be on your toes to embrace new and upcoming trends. Don’t get rolled into the “Not invented here”-Syndrome or the “confirmation”-bias mode where you do not see the other’s point of view at all. “CHANGE IS THE ONLY CONSTANT IN LIFE” – Best you can do to deal with it is to accept it, deal with it head-on, and move on …