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    "Nothing is so permanent as a temporary government program." - Milton Friedman, Economist

    Friday
    Jul302010

    Disruptive Strategy

    Lately disruption, albeit the good kind, has been on my mind. Strategy has been defined in a number of ways and I am sure you have your own definition too. But let me share mine with you and see if we are still seeing each other “eye to eye”.

    So I started this post with “disruption” and then veered off to “strategy”. What’s going on here, Uday? The reason is that the two share a tight relationship. I am reasonably convinced that disruption is a key ingredient of any and every strategy, and its relative weight in the equation is on the rise. In order to be at a place where you (i.e. the company) have never been before, you will need to displace or disturb something that is already there (i.e. the incumbent or competition). You may think that your product or service is unique, niche, never-thought-before, etc. but think harder because in every case, you will come up with some mechanism, widget, process, etc. that is already in place and is already satisfying the targeted “need”. However how you are different or trying to be different is probably by helping your target segment(s) derive or consume a better, faster, cheaper, or closer experience. What you are offering is an improvement over how the “need” was satisfied by other, existing firms. What you have just done is that you have disrupted an established norm by crashing into somebody’s party. That is the difference which is central to how I believe strategy is manifesting itself in current times.

    When thinking of strategy, it is imperative to understand the current state of affairs. There are a number of tools that can help you understand the macro level dynamics of the market when formulating strategy – Porter 5 analysis, PEST analysis, VRIN analysis, Quadrant Crunching, etc. But you must dive deeper and get closer to the ground to understand what is it that is worthy of disruption in that specific context. Which feather can be ruffled, which rule can be bent, which idea can be twisted, which shortcut can be carved, which myth can be shattered, which 2 birds can be killed with 1 stone. OK, I will stop; you get the idea, hopefully. Thinking this way will give you everything that you need to formulate and articulate you specific firm’s or BU’s or product’s strategy statement. It will help you come up with the problem statement, because without that you are nothing but an imitator or emulator.

    Everything that we have gotten to see lately and what we will see in the future will be a result of healthy, unconventional, transformational, creative disruption. I think we are at a point where we (i.e. the consumers) expect this disruption to happen around us at a steady clip and when it does not arrive in a timely manner, we start to get impatient. In the past we hated or resisted change but now we can hardly wait to change. We expect change! Name it – clothes, hairstyles, cars, accessories, music, food, appliances – we want to be presented with new things and new consumptions mechanisms all the time. We are expecting the Apples, Amazons, Googles, and Facebooks of the world to keep changing on us, keep breaking, twisting, turning, tweaking things that they have already built – so that we can be presented with new experiences.

    Bottom line, your strategy must have a “disruptive” component else the odds of it being profitable are going to be slim to none. As always, feel free to disrupt my ideas.

     

    Wednesday
    Jul212010

    Efficiency Or Innovation?

    Double-dip recession anyone?? How about the W-shaped economic outlook/recovery? We are going through some unprecedented times here folks; despite the gloom, one significant contributor to the few gains we are observing has been the technology-led productivity improvements. Productivity improvements, in turn, can be result of the corporations either being more efficient (i.e. doing more with less) or being more innovative (i.e. building better processes or machines). Although it is hard to draw boundaries around when one stops being efficient and starts being innovative or vice versa, an organization can always decide, albeit at a macro level, where they would want their precious resources (people, machine, money, etc.) to be invested.

    To me the $1M question is what is the optimal place to start? Does it make sense to start by doing what I call “house-cleaning” – fixing the things that are broken, reorganizing functions/teams, removing things that do not work, improving existing processes, releasing once captive functions to 3rd parties who can perform them more optimally, etc. OR do you say “Our organizational setup and processes are just fine; it’s just that the current set of widgets/services we offer are out of synch with what the market is looking for and hence we need to innovate towards better, faster, cheaper, and closer offerings.”

    Are you with me so far? You see, at some level you need to make a choice – Do I improve or do I innovate? Let me try to paint a hypothetical picture for you that will hopefully give you a context to consider while you debate the learnings from this blog posting. Imagine you are the CIO of a multi-billion US firm. Your project delivery follows some vague, questionable methodology that requires people to produce artifacts that adds little value to the desired business outcomes. Your network connectivity is dead slow and your customers constantly complain about how long it takes to open/retrieve network assets. You do not have a clear way of measuring how your function is contributing to the top/bottom-line performance of your customers or organizations. Your internal customers are always mocking you for your ability to be agile and responsive to their needs. Although you are responsible for collecting the firm’s data and information, you are yet to propose any meaningful intelligence or insights, based on all that data you’ve been collecting, to your business customers.

    So on one hand this is the state of your IT affairs. On the other hand, you are noticing all of the jazzy mobile, social, cloud, digital, and analytical trends in the market place that are making the rounds and you are thinking of all the cool, smart, and trendy ideas you could have your people working on. Of course, showing off a couple of cool and new ways to engage and campaign to the firm’s customers would position you as one who is with the technology curve and one who is thinking of improving the firm’s market share.

    Now the question – what should the executive focus on? Should the CIO focus on fixing his organization’s structural issues? Or should he pursue the more flashy, trendy opportunity and have his team innovate towards potentially new products/services? I am not sure if there is really a right or wrong answer. Like my Corporate Strategy professor used to say – It Depends. You ask – On What? One could do a detailed DCF (discounted cash flow) analysis and compare one opportunity with the other. One could consider where executive management is “politically” leaning towards. One could consider the opportunities from a social and/or external perspective, in terms of which would give more mileage. There are a number of internal and external forces that could influence the final “choice” outcome and they would need to be evaluated.

    If you ask me, I would lean towards fixing the firm’s structural problems first before investing in any sort of innovation of firm’s products/services. In the long run, what’s inside matters more than what’s outside when it comes to a firm’s success and ability to increase shareholder value. A firm’s culture is the most important building block and helps lay the foundation for all future innovation. You must lay the rail tracks on which you want to travel in the future. Travelling on existing rail tracks will lead you to the same destination, i.e. results.

    As always, I welcome you ideas and feedback on my blog posting.

     

    Thursday
    Jul012010

    The Monkey Business

     

    Please take this test and we'll talk more about this in the subsequent articles.....

     

     

    Good Luck.

     

    Tuesday
    Jun292010

    Buzzworthy Social Content

    If you read my last posting – Facebook’s Identity Crisis – you already know that I am not a fan of the most popular social site. As in any business case you may have created or reviewed, it all boils down to value to the individual consumer or enterprise customer. There are a number of ways value can be defined and measured but when it comes to the social media, one theory that is starting to emerge is to measure the buzz-iness or buzz-worthiness of the social content being generated or pushed by this new media channel/outlet.

    The typical human being craves attention and likes to be quoted or discussed in a positive light. Brands are no different since they too want to be the center of all conversations in their specific category of product or service. We constantly look at ways to improve our “personal” brands whereas companies look for ways to enhance their corporate brand equity, awareness, recall, and value. Getting people to notice you, know you, admire you, emulate you, imitate you, follow you, etc. is one of the primary motivations for you to becoming part of a social network like FB. So the most logical ROI worthy metric to track here would be how often, how much, and in what light are people talking about you or your product/service? This needs to be tracked and measured not just at the primary location (like FB, Twitter, etc.) but also in secondary and tertiary locations like blogs, news/journals sites, conferences, malls, airports, schools, etc.

    Let’s not kid ourselves – after spending all that time taking pictures and posting them, writing things that you consider funny or shocking or useful, and targeting people to follow you or become your fan, you would like them to talk about you (or your content) and recommend you (or your content) to their network. In the marketing circles, this phenomenon goes by WOM (word of mouth) or Viral marketing. Companies want to leverage the network effect of these social media outlets and spread the word about their wares. The momentum generated by a combination of a powerful message and a powerful network is second to none. The quality of the momentum generated here is direct proportional to the quality of the message as well as the quality of the network. What these messages and networks help generate are interactions and transactions that can eventually result in revenue and market share growth that companies are hoping to achieve via the New Media.

    So going back to my issue with FB’s value proposition - FB (and for that matter other social sites) needs to invest in innovative toolkits and best practices to help their paying customers be able to generate/publish content that results in valuable interactions and transactions within their network. Content needs to be buzz-worthy, i.e. it needs to be compelling enough for the consumer to remember, it needs to stand out from all the other content that is being peddled to the consumer (in that category or segment), and it needs to be recallable, reproducible, and reliable. There is an opportunity here for FB and its customers to potentially collaborate and come up with a BSC (Balanced Score Card) to measure the performance of their social media investments and link these investments all the way to the desired business outcomes (like loyalty, profitability, productivity, etc.).

    As always, would love to hear back from you on my ideas. Let me know if my blog posting is buzz-worthy!

     

    Monday
    Jun212010

    Book Reviews – “On the Brink” and “Lord of Finance”

    Here we go again. It must be my kismet that I read these two books one after the other and felt the contrast so stark that I’m forced to share my thoughts on these two books. The book, “On the Brink – Inside the race to stop the collapse of the Global Financial System” – is written by our republican minded ex-treasury secretary – who is to be credited for socializing the world of finance; going against his ideology of self regulating free markets. The other – “Lord of Finance - The Bankers Who Broke the World” – is written by Liaquat Ahamed who has been a professional investment manager for twenty-five years – and this book of his won him the Pulitzer a couple of months ago.

    While the first book is focused on Mr. Paulson’s experience during his tenure as the Treasury Secretary – the other is one of the best books on the Great Depression and the aftermath. While the first book is written solely based on the recollection from memory (Mr. Paulson claims to possess photographic memory) the other is well researched and referenced book. While the first book drags, the other keeps you involved all the way till the end – even though you know what the answers will be. While the first appears borderline fiction, the later is definitely non-fiction. 

    Mr. Paulson does not hide the fact that he likes power and unquestioned power if he could have it. Only a president like Jr. Bush will be ignorant enough to hire him and give him the power that he sought. He not only used it, he used it very wisely and effectively to help out some of his friends and used it effectively to wipe off some of his old nemesis. Mr. Paulson presents no insight into rationale for his decision except for “the financial world will come to an end if we don’t pay these humongous sums to banks”. Mr. Paulson’s narrative only conveys some of the facts as if he is trying to cover the true story while ignoring some of the crucial description and rationale for decisions that he made (such as TARP and its execution). I would rather read – “Too Big to Fail: The Inside Story of How Wall Street and Washington Fought to Save the Financial System-and Themselves” by Andrew Ross Sorkin; over this book. I have reviewed the “Too big to fail” on Kazira earlier.

    Mr. Ahemad on the other hand, focuses on the four major characters at the beginning of the 20th century –
    • Mr. Montagu Norman, Governor of Bank of England,
    • Benjamin Strong Jr, First President of the US Federal Reserve System,
    • Hjalmar Scacht, Governor of Bank of Germany, and
    • Emile Moreau, Governor of Bank of France.

    He captures the personality traits and their modes of operations in such a way that this books reads like “The DaVinci Code” – You don’t want to put it down. He sprinkles the book with facts such as – a Russian spy working for the US government was instrumental in laying out policies of the Bretton Woods Conference.

    His thoroughness is so good that you feel as if you are living the times and tribulations faced by these four legendary figures in the field of finance during WW I, the great depression, and the WW II. He covers the WW I and WW II in depth and its associated reparation policies and its implication very well. Most notable is his comparison of the great depression to the present financial crisis and his assertion that the Great Depression was equivalent of recent stock market collapse, .com bubble collapse, and the housing market collapse COMBINED … The book also covers the financial and personal philosophies of the leaders at that time such as Churchill, FDR, and Hitler. He also provides great insight into the life of notable financial luminary such as John Maynard Keynes.

    OVERALL A GREAT BOOK FOR SOMEONE WHO WISHES TO LEARN THE EXISTING FINANCIAL MODEL AROUND THE WORLD. My only complaint about this book is that it did not cover the time after the great depression – nor it should – But his narrative is so good that I hope he write another book to cover the time frame from the great depression till today.